Now in a single handy post. An analysis from the prospective of progressive Democrats of the newly drawn US House district boundaries in Florida. Despite Florida voters passing Amendments Five (State) and Six (Federal) in 2010 (Fair Districts), the new map is rife with partisan gerrymandering. Who cares about the wishes of the people when […]
Read More →Tags: 2010
Florida Redistricting: A Look at US House Seats Part 1: 1-6
This is the first in a series discussing the newly drawn US House district boundaries in Florida. Despite Florida voters passing Amendments Five (State) and Six (Federal) in 2010 (Fair Districts), the new map is rife with partisan gerrymandering. Who cares about the wishes of the people when the RPOF has super majorities? Data for […]
Read More →UnConventional Wisdom: Looking Back to Win in the Future
In honor of the FDP’s dentist endorsed sugar coated retrospective of the 2010 election season, a look at how candidates and campaigns should handle the aftermath of a campaign in preparation for a future campaign. First, despite amusing quotes projected by some of 2010’s candidates, no campaign is perfect, no campaign is without mistakes, no […]
Read More →#Roots10 Quick Wrap
This weekend I joined roughly 1000 progressive activists in DC for the 5th RootsCampDC, my 4th, having missed the Februrary 2010 camp. RootsCamp is a fantastic “un-conference” put together and beautifully executed by the New Organizing Institute. A space to bring people from all aspects of campaigning, advocacy and governing together to discuss successes, failures, […]
Read More →FL-Gov : Performance Analysis
As promised, here is the complete breakdown of performance versus the democratic performance goals I had projected for the Florida Governors Race. I will use the same sorting I used yesterday for the turnout breakdown, but I have adjusted the reference of the turnout – each county is reported by what percentage of expected turnout […]
Read More →FL-Gov: Turnout Predictions versus Actual Turnout
On Sunday, I posted my turnout projections for the Florida Governor’s race, let’s see how I did… First, the ugly – counties where I was off by 10% or more either direction: Nine of 67 counties had projections off by 10%, all experience greater than 10% more turnout than expected. No counties showed >10% less […]
Read More →FL-Gov Results: What I see that says Sink will win…
UPDATE @ 3:20AM — With additional numbers in from Hillsborough showing VERY POOR (sub 50%) performance by the Sink/Smith campaign, this one looks over pending recount. Very disturbing results and tragic for the people of Florida if this isn’t overcome by massive turnout in the remaining outstanding precincts/absentees/provisionals tilted heavily in Sink’s favor or a […]
Read More →2010 Vote Projections – Florida Governor’s Race
The following data and commentary should assist some in following and understanding the returns tomorrow night, focused on the Governors race. I will include historical data and some formulas that create history based projections. There is also a bit of “art” in the shaping of performance based on the perceived focuses (geographically and demographically) of the campaign/party activity, and […]
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