Category: Race Tracking

Florida’s New (2012) Congressional Map

Now in a single handy post.  An analysis from the prospective of progressive Democrats of the newly drawn US House district boundaries in Florida.  Despite Florida voters passing Amendments Five (State) and Six (Federal) in 2010 (Fair Districts), the new map is rife with partisan gerrymandering.  Who cares about the wishes of the people when […]

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Did you hear that?!

I got up early this morning to appear on WJCT’s First Coast Connect, hosted by Melissa Ross.  I was joined by Republican political consultant Jim Varian and Abel Harding of the Jacksonville Times-Union, we discussed Jacksonville’s Mayoral election results featuring Alvin Brown, Audrey Moran, Mike Hogan and Rick Mullaney. Congrats to Alvin Brown, as he […]

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FL-Gov : Performance Analysis

As promised, here is the complete breakdown of performance versus the democratic performance goals I had projected for the Florida Governors Race.  I will use the same sorting I used yesterday for the turnout breakdown, but I have adjusted the reference of the turnout – each county is reported by what percentage of expected turnout […]

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FL-Gov Results: What I see that says Sink will win…

UPDATE @ 3:20AM — With additional numbers in from Hillsborough showing VERY POOR (sub 50%) performance by the Sink/Smith campaign, this one looks over pending recount.  Very disturbing results and tragic for the people of Florida if this isn’t overcome by massive turnout in the remaining outstanding precincts/absentees/provisionals tilted heavily in Sink’s favor or a […]

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Predictions and Expectations…

Following up to yesterday’s FL-Gov turnout projections, I’ll start with the Governor’s race — Alex Sink will eek out a narrow victory more on the strength of people voting against Rick Scott than for Alex, despite the fact that she will likely make an excellent Governor, she has not been a terrific candidate and her […]

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2010 Vote Projections – Florida Governor’s Race

The following data and commentary should assist some in following and understanding the returns tomorrow night, focused on the Governors race.  I will include historical data and some formulas that create history based projections.  There is also a bit of “art” in the shaping of performance based on the perceived focuses (geographically and demographically) of the campaign/party activity, and […]

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